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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
PhongLeXBT00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)72% (262–100, n=362)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$134K$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)no open consensus position72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEconomy −1 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won74% of 306 at avg 42¢, ROI +17%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 61% of 89)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 71% of 80)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 82% of 129)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 8)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.