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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
QMG-SCALAR00gringo00RN1primm
Record (consensus markets)78% (113–32, n=145)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)50% (985–968, n=1953)
Consensus PnL$18K$3.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #940was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (14 of 14 open)no open consensus position46% (11 of 24 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won84% of 170 at avg 82¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 10% of 29)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢0%0%22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 67% of 3)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up81% (won 100% of 138)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketQMG-SCALAR00gringo00RN1primm
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Eagles $3.7KEagles $1.0K
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $644Over $527