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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)48% (14163–15634, n=29797)95% (13601–670, n=14271)
Consensus PnL$14.8M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #966
Sides with the consensus58% (37 of 64 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +16 pts n=6995, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 6995 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2588)4% (won 72% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5673)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 9163)11% (won 97% of 772)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8536)76% (won 100% of 5336)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1WagerWizard
Exact Score: FC Famalicão 0 - 0 FC Arouca?
same side · consensus No
No $342No $66