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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)50% (1127–1147, n=2274)48% (14338–15838, n=30176)95% (13673–684, n=14357)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #51PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #962
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)49% (30 of 61 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1WagerWizard
Spread: Arizona (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
TCU $9.1KArizona $579—
Spread: Arizona (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
TCU $2.7KArizona $2.9K—
Spread: Arizona (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
TCU $1.0KArizona $1.3K—
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
TCU $864Arizona $1.3K—
Spread: Arizona (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
TCU $1.2KArizona $872—
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $451Under $507—
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.1KNo $33
Spread: Arizona (-8.5)
same side · consensus Arizona
TCU $834TCU $2.3K—
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $355Over $1.4K—
Spread: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kataller Toyama
—Kataller Toyama $33Kataller Toyama $108