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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1robustmst
Record (consensus markets)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)47% (132–149, n=281)
Consensus PnL$14.8M$155K
Tracked asPM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #55
Sides with the consensus62% (28 of 45 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%86% of 146 at avg 51¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2538)3% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5565)45% (won 79% of 66)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9017)45% (won 92% of 65)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8250)7% (won 90% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1robustmst
Luanda: Suzan Lamens vs Kristina Kroitor
opposite sides · consensus Kristina Kroitor
Suzan Lamens $26KKristina Kroitor $48K