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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RN1 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 41% (1101–1609, n=2710) |
| Consensus PnL | $13.4M | $4.4M | $5.8M | $2.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #410 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 53% (31 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $65 | Yes $1.3K |