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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Ronaldo2100 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 69% (209–93, n=302) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $351K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #325 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (6 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=42 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 299 at avg 72¢, ROI +6% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 12% of 26) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 68% of 31) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 76% of 51) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 95% of 191) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ronaldo2100 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $17K | — | No $117K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | — | Yes $21K | — |