Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SadSquid54333RN1CORGIIsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)60% (195–130, n=325)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)61% (393–247, n=640)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$51K$13.4M$4.5M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #296PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 199 at avg 63¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 75% of 4)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 100% of 27)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 96% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 100% of 53)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.