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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SapporoAsahi | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (85–156, n=241) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | -$95K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #390 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (73 of 98 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 55 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 2) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 45% (won 100% of 25) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 95% of 22) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 100% of 6) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SapporoAsahi | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | — | No $407K | — |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | — | Yes $39K | — |