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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlickRick123RN1beachboy4sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)46% (3121–3625, n=6746)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$18K$14.8M$5.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #985PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)56% (27 of 48 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −4 pts, n=563—NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won48% of 2573 at avg 45¢, ROI +4%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 14% of 704)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 744)22% (won 94% of 5518)30% (won 57% of 63)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 69% of 716)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 88% of 409)32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlickRick123RN1beachboy4sainttroplay
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $350——