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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlickRick123RN1joseph00677beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)46% (3121–3625, n=6746)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)53% (10–9, n=19)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$18K$14.8M$5.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #985PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)55% (27 of 49 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −4 pts, n=563——NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won48% of 2573 at avg 45¢, ROI +4%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 14% of 704)10% (won 57% of 2537)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 744)22% (won 94% of 5518)6% (won 0% of 1)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 69% of 716)36% (won 99% of 8928)65% (won 73% of 11)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 88% of 409)32% (won 100% of 7821)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlickRick123RN1joseph00677beachboy4
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $350——