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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SmallFishGambler | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (23–12, n=35) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #636 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 33 at avg 45¢, ROI +27% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 56% of 9) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 67% of 12) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 78% of 9) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 100% of 3) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SmallFishGambler | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.9K | — | — | No $112K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.8K | — | — | Yes $36K |