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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SmallFishGamblerRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)66% (23–12, n=35)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$20K$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #636PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 8 open)56% (84 of 149 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won69% of 32 at avg 44¢, ROI +27%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 56% of 9)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 67% of 12)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 75% of 8)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 100% of 3)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.