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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Stickman220xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)52% (1544–1424, n=2968)61% (495–320, n=815)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$100K$4.8M$5.8M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #422was PM monthly #51was PM monthly #24PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)64% (7 of 11 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −4 pts, n=248Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won51% of 2983 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 19% of 310)15% (won 29% of 125)3% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 43% of 1113)34% (won 58% of 283)30% (won 57% of 63)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 59% of 1265)43% (won 69% of 354)54% (won 51% of 115)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 81% of 295)7% (won 80% of 60)14% (won 86% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketStickman220xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4joseph00677
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $7.4K——