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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SulkingCrypto0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)10% (110–969, n=1079)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$5.1K-$6.6M$14.8M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #882was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus49% (21 of 43 open)no open consensus position56% (27 of 48 open)87% (143 of 164 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment −14 pts, n=23College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won8% of 199 at avg 13¢, ROI −4%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢88% (won 4% of 175)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 20% of 10)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 50% of 8)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 33% of 6)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.