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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TRCMsainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)59% (1735–1218, n=2953)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$573K$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #205was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position64% (21 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +22 pts n=1367, ROI +23%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won84% of 1371 at avg 62¢, ROI +23%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 24% of 199)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 76% of 173)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 95% of 343)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 99% of 656)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTRCMsainttroplayRN1
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Jonas Forejtek $10—Ryan Seggerman $294
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
same side · consensus Liam Draxl
Liam Draxl $2—Liam Draxl $5.2K
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Shunsuke Mitsui $5—Shunsuke Mitsui $5