← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheGreatBeta | ndb1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (481–1008, n=1489) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.2K | $4.1M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #465 | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Economy −8 pts, n=25 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 5% of 924 at avg 3¢, ROI −1% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 100% (won 5% of 923) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheGreatBeta | ndb1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | No $2.0K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | No $23 | — |