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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TheOneto3BreakTheBank00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)51% (357–338, n=695)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$249K$10.6M$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #865PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus17% (1 of 6 open)73% (73 of 100 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −13 pts, n=117———
Settled positions, side won51% of 779 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 20% of 69)10% (won 85% of 53)0%7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 49% of 311)36% (won 98% of 192)0%26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 52% of 307)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 76% of 92)20% (won 100% of 107)0%24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTheOneto3BreakTheBank00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $22KNo $40K——