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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ThisAgain | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (14–24, n=38) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$650K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #126 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 15 at avg 52¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 47% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ThisAgain | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $38K | No $40K | — | — |