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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ThisAgain | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (14–24, n=38) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$650K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #126 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 15 at avg 52¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 47% (won 86% of 7) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ThisAgain | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $38K | — | No $40K | — |