← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Tolkonevminus3 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (64–46, n=110) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$22K | -$352K | $14.8M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #891 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 81% (13 of 16 open) | 54% (30 of 56 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 78 at avg 70¢, ROI +17% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 0% of 2) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 50% of 8) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 92% of 26) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 98% of 42) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Tolkonevminus3 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | Under $129 | — |