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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VeryLucky888 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (26858–19450, n=46308) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (969–959, n=1928) |
| Consensus PnL | $417K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (44 of 64 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=1814 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 1995) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 5894) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 5883) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 78% of 3792) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VeryLucky888 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.8K | — | — | Over $91 |