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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Vilgefortz | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (191–58, n=249) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $368K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #782 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (14 of 16 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=63 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 316 at avg 78¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 14% of 44) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 16) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 63% of 19) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 75% (won 94% of 237) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Vilgefortz | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.8K | No $90K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $29K | Yes $1.1K | — |