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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WarewaPain00gringo00CORGIIsurfandturf
Record (consensus markets)41% (460–651, n=1111)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (395–247, n=642)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL-$123K$3.5M$4.5M$9.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #654was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +11 pts n=337, ROI +17%
  • Soccer +9 pts n=190, ROI +10%
  • MMA +16 pts n=16, ROI +29%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicTennis −5 pts, n=32———
Settled positions, side won66% of 655 at avg 57¢, ROI +13%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%—
Entries under 30¢18% (won 21% of 117)0%9% (won 92% of 36)—
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 58% of 120)0%56% (won 99% of 223)—
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 72% of 195)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)—
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 90% of 223)0%2% (won 100% of 7)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWarewaPain00gringo00CORGIIsurfandturf
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——Yes $2.3K
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $101——No $2.7K