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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WarriorH0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188CORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)9% (298–3192, n=3490)46% (131–154, n=285)61% (395–248, n=643)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)
Consensus PnL$130K-$6.6M$194K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #71was PM monthly #715PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (144 of 178 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (13 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +3 pts n=10, ROI −2%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEntertainment −13 pts, n=147College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won11% of 2095 at avg 17¢, ROI −4%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢83% (won 1% of 1737)0% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 36% of 87)42% (won 46% of 565)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 51% of 87)57% (won 51% of 766)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 83% of 184)0% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.