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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| XieGuangKun | RN1 | sainttroplay | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (72–89, n=161) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 41% (1101–1610, n=2711) |
| Consensus PnL | $79K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $2.9M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #410 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (34 of 43 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (33 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | Finance −13 pts, n=96 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 665 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 11% of 180) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 33% of 113) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 57% of 122) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 81% of 250) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | XieGuangKun | RN1 | sainttroplay | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $392 | — | — | No $8.2K |
| US recession by end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $283 | — | — | Yes $32 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $218 | — | — | Yes $502 |