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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Zzzz870x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)49% (2790–2853, n=5643)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL-$1.7M-$6.6M$14.8M$194K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #159was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position59% (13 of 22 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicMLB ±0 pts, n=438College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won50% of 5302 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 12% of 1416)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 45% of 1100)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 63% of 1633)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 84% of 1153)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.