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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| afdafdafdafdafd | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (202–57, n=259) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #995 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (27 of 27 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −6 pts, n=48 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 285 at avg 82¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 8% of 13) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 43% of 35) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 36% of 25) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 93% of 212) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | afdafdafdafdafd | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | No $184K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | No $21K | — |