Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	akroll	beachboy4	ndb1	sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)	35% (279–526, n=805)	67% (43–21, n=64)	66% (877–458, n=1335)	71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL	$119K	$6.1M	$4.1M	$4.4M
Tracked as	PM monthly #111	was PM monthly #24	PM monthly #12	was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus	74% (26 of 35 open)	100% (1 of 1 open)	74% (28 of 38 open)	no open consensus position
Strongest topics	none with 10+ settled	NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19% Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%	Soccer +4 pts n=607, ROI +7% MLB +6 pts n=44, ROI +30% Other Sports +12 pts n=10, ROI +18%	Soccer +51 pts n=10, ROI +52%
Weakest topic	Elections −3 pts, n=72	NBA −6 pts, n=93	NFL −10 pts, n=132	—
Settled positions, side won	44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7%	57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%	64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%	100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢	52% (won 1% of 205)	3% (won 17% of 6)	13% (won 16% of 160)	0%
Entries 30–50¢	2% (won 43% of 7)	30% (won 57% of 63)	20% (won 40% of 253)	50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢	4% (won 53% of 15)	54% (won 51% of 115)	24% (won 57% of 310)	50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up	42% (won 96% of 167)	14% (won 86% of 29)	43% (won 93% of 544)	0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	akroll	beachboy4	ndb1	sainttroplay
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No	No $17K	—	No $215K	—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes	No $6.0K	—	No $3.1K	—