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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| akroll | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (279–526, n=805) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $119K | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #12 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (25 of 34 open) | 78% (29 of 37 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=72 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 1% of 205) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 43% of 7) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 96% of 167) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | akroll | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $17K | No $235K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $6.0K | No $41K | — |