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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| almost-never | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (143–180, n=323) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $178K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #166 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (72 of 97 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=246 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 321 at avg 45¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 47% (won 1% of 152) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 48% of 23) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 77% of 26) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 96% of 120) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | almost-never | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $284 | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | — | Yes $77K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | Yes $169K | — |