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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alpheclabs2 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (66–86, n=152) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $30K | $11.0M | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #234 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 90% (148 of 164 open) | 54% (30 of 56 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 122 at avg 40¢, ROI +15% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 13% of 48) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 52% of 31) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 62% of 26) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 94% of 17) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alpheclabs2 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4 | — | Under $4.3K | — |