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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
alpheclabs2RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)43% (66–86, n=152)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$30K$14.8M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #234PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)57% (13 of 23 open)91% (150 of 165 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won44% of 122 at avg 40¢, ROI +15%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 13% of 48)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 52% of 31)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 62% of 26)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 94% of 17)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketalpheclabs2RN1BreakTheBank
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4Over $2.6K—