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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ankaramessi10BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816RN1
Record (consensus markets)64% (21–12, n=33)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–321, n=816)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)
Consensus PnL$29K$11.0M-$352K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #977PM monthly #1was PM monthly #51PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position91% (150 of 165 open)69% (9 of 13 open)57% (27 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won69% of 32 at avg 60¢, ROI +19%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 56)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 67% of 9)36% (won 98% of 198)34% (won 58% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 58% of 12)35% (won 99% of 191)43% (won 69% of 354)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 82% of 11)19% (won 100% of 107)7% (won 80% of 60)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.