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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
anoin12300gringo00sainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)50% (290–293, n=583)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$1.3M$3.5M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #18was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus52% (122 of 236 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (9 of 18 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won92% of 481 at avg 79¢, ROI −11%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 61% of 41)0%0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 83% of 23)0%50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 76% of 50)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 98% of 367)0%0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.