Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
anothercoinBreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)55% (703–580, n=1283)46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (10–9, n=19)no settled market
Consensus PnL$36K$11.2M$5.6M—
Tracked asPM monthly #190PM monthly #2PM monthly #1—
Sides with the consensus75% (432 of 573 open)48% (10 of 21 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topicElections −6 pts, n=26———
Settled positions, side won21% of 70 at avg 26¢, ROI +7%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—
Entries under 30¢77% (won 0% of 54)10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 50% of 2)35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 14)19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketanothercoinBreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplay
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $414Yes $16K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $77No $15K——