Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
anothercoinBreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)54% (728–612, n=1340)46% (560–667, n=1227)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$37K$9.4M$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #170PM monthly #1PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus76% (427 of 565 open)62% (18 of 29 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicElections −6 pts, n=26—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won21% of 70 at avg 26¢, ROI +7%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢77% (won 0% of 54)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢0%35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 50% of 2)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 14)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketanothercoinBreakTheBankndb1
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $262—Yes $1.9K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2—Yes $47