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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| apprentice15 | sainttroplay | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (460–358, n=818) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #875 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 79% (11 of 14 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 600 at avg 48¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 44% of 136) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 49% of 177) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 65% of 189) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 90% of 98) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | apprentice15 | sainttroplay | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $165 | Over $555 |