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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkjhsadjoseph00677RN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19552–21306, n=40858)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL—$3.2M$14.9M$2.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #7PM monthly #33 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus13% (14 of 110 open)no open consensus position62% (18 of 29 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic———Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkjhsadjoseph00677RN1weflyhigh
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3—Yes $2—