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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
babybellsclassifiedjuice-fruitSineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)87% (46–7, n=53)100% (1–0, n=1)100% (1–0, n=1)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$2.8K$152K$111K
Tracked asPM monthly #930PM monthly #337PM monthly #28PM monthly #113
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)54% (7 of 13 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Elections −2 pts, n=101——
Settled positions, side won—51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—46% (won 4% of 152)2% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 83% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 47% of 15)25% (won 100% of 12)36% (won 88% of 182)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 78% of 23)44% (won 100% of 21)44% (won 93% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 98% of 144)29% (won 100% of 14)16% (won 99% of 82)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.