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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
babybellsdenizzrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18SineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)79% (58–15, n=73)no settled market63% (12–7, n=19)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$4.8K$0$251K$111K
Tracked asPM monthly #918PM monthly #141PM monthly #19 + pinnedPM monthly #124
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)100% (1 of 1 open)50% (7 of 14 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Politics −2 pts, n=16——
Settled positions, side won100% of 9 at avg 74¢, ROI +30%64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢0%26% (won 6% of 63)11% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 83% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 100% of 1)12% (won 57% of 30)33% (won 100% of 3)36% (won 88% of 182)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 66% of 32)44% (won 100% of 4)44% (won 93% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 100% of 7)49% (won 96% of 120)11% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 99% of 82)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbabybellsdenizzrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18SineNooneEI
Heat vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $392—Jazz $22KJazz $13K
Magic vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $416—Kings $3.4K—
Clippers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $196—Suns $111K—