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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1beachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGII
| balthazar | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (11157–13868, n=25025) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 14811 at avg 61¢, ROI +14% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 20% of 4152) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 82% of 942) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 96% of 2106) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 99% of 7611) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | balthazar | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $580 | No $114K | — |