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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (452–449, n=901) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) |
| Consensus PnL | -$338K | -$8.8M | $4.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #232 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 50% (16 of 32 open) | 75% (76 of 102 open) | 83% (10 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=159 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 331) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 375) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $8.1K | — | Buccaneers $4.7K |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | Buccaneers $1.1K | — | Bears $3.5K |
| Spread: Bears (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $103 | — | Buccaneers $4.0K |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $3 | — | Buccaneers $2.4K |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $295 | — | Buccaneers $93 |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | Yes $20 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $28K | — | Buccaneers $28K |