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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677Vale54holi
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6506–6010, n=12516)45% (10–12, n=22)27% (295–813, n=1108)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$5.3M$34K
Tracked as—PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #119
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (176 of 233 open)no open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Elections −1 pts, n=182
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%41% of 492 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)52% (won 3% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 32% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)7% (won 64% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 95% of 172)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.