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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4LikaseentprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market44% (252–323, n=575)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL—$124K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #110PM monthly #48PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (6 of 11 open)no open consensus position65% (106 of 162 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=23——
Settled positions, side won—41% of 331 at avg 42¢, ROI +1%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—56% (won 1% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 14% of 7)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 70% of 10)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 98% of 127)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.