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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Limousinndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (849–749, n=1598)65% (876–462, n=1338)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)
Consensus PnL—$90K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #230PM monthly #11PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (26 of 50 open)79% (19 of 24 open)47% (17 of 36 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +46 pts n=89, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=266, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +26 pts n=18, ROI +36%
Weakest topic——NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 405 at avg 69¢, ROI +35%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 100% of 27)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 100% of 84)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—20% (won 100% of 80)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—53% (won 100% of 214)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Limousinndb1RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $332—Katie Boulter $19K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $2.9K—Talia Gibson $2.6K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan
—Aoi Ito $11—Katie Swan $281
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
same side · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
—Jia-Jing Lu $8—Jia-Jing Lu $154