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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4haveagooddayRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market37% (1509–2541, n=4050)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL—$31K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #129PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (133 of 169 open)65% (113 of 174 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections −3 pts, n=555—
Settled positions, side won—61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—32% (won 1% of 760)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 42% of 101)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 63% of 156)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 96% of 1382)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.