← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 37% (1431–2387, n=3818) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $31K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #129 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (25 of 38 open) | 83% (220 of 264 open) | 50% (18 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 32% (won 1% of 760) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 4% (won 42% of 101) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 7% (won 63% of 156) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.