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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1UpTheBluesxyz.eww
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (886–468, n=1354)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)59% (17–12, n=29)
Consensus PnL—$4.2M$3.1M$18K
Tracked as—PM monthly #143PM monthly #8PM monthly #797
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (33 of 45 open)71% (98 of 139 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • NBA +21 pts n=12, ROI +26%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%62% of 26 at avg 39¢, ROI +23%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)7% (won 99% of 2623)31% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 7839)42% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 8452)27% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 19323)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.