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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1northdrawerprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (902–484, n=1386)57% (10845–8104, n=18949)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)
Consensus PnL—$4.8M-$178K$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #101PM monthly #113PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (107 of 152 open)74% (224 of 304 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139Soccer −3 pts, n=341—
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)57% (won 0% of 3123)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)2% (won 46% of 134)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)4% (won 61% of 222)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)37% (won 96% of 2010)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4ndb1northdrawerprimm
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0KNo $391—